05 November 2008

John McCain's Concession Speech and National Results

The National Results are as follows (pasted from Real Clear Politics). MO and NC were too close to call for the Presidential race as of last posting.

· President ·

Obama/Biden 52% (349) McCain/Palin 46% (163)

7:00 ET Obama McCain Obama McCain
Georgia (15)46%53%(99%) South Carolina (8)45%54%(94%)
Indiana (11)50%49%(99%) Vermont (3)67%31%(89%)
Kentucky (8)41%58%(100%) Virginia (13)52%47%(99%)
7:30 ET Obama McCain Obama McCain
North Carolina (15)50%49%(100%) Ohio (20)51%47%(96%)
West Virginia (5)43%56%(99%)
8:00 ET Obama McCain Obama McCain
Alabama (9)39%61%(99%) Massachusetts (12)62%36%(96%)
Connecticut (7)60%39%(96%) Mississippi (6)43%57%(99%)
Delaware (3)62%37%(100%) Missouri (11)49%50%(100%)
DC (3)93%7%(100%) New Hampshire (4)55%44%(85%)
Florida (27)51%49%(99%) New Jersey (15)57%42%(98%)
Illinois (21)61%38%(95%) Oklahoma (7)34%66%(99%)
Maine (4)58%40%(78%) Pennsylvania (21)55%44%(99%)
Maryland (10)61%38%(97%) Tennessee (11)42%57%(98%)
8:30 ET Obama McCain Obama McCain
Arkansas (6)39%59%(96%)
9:00 ET Obama McCain Obama McCain
Arizona (10)45%54%(99%) New York (31)62%37%(99%)
Colorado (9)53%46%(80%) North Dakota (3)45%53%(97%)
Kansas (6)42%57%(97%) Rhode Island (4)63%35%(98%)
Louisiana (9)40%59%(100%) South Dakota (3)45%53%(100%)
Michigan (17)57%41%(99%) Texas (34)44%55%(99%)
Minnesota (10)54%44%(99%) Wisconsin (10)56%43%(99%)
Nebraska (5)41%57%(99%) Wyoming (3)33%65%(100%)
New Mexico (5)57%42%(99%)
10:00 ET Obama McCain Obama McCain
Iowa (7)54%45%(99%) Nevada (5)55%43%(100%)
Montana (3)47%50%(99%) Utah (5)34%63%(99%)
11:00 ET Obama McCain Obama McCain
California (55)61%37%(91%) Oregon (7)55%43%(62%)
Hawaii (4)72%27%(99%) Washington (11)58%41%(56%)
Idaho (4)36%61%(98%)
1:00 ET Obama McCain Obama McCain
Alaska (3)36%62%(99%)

· Senate ·

Democrats 56* (+5) Republicans 41 (-5)

Democrat Republican
Alaska Begich 47%Stevens 48%(99%)-
Colorado Udall 52%Schaffer 43%(87%)Dem Pickup
Georgia Martin 46%Chambliss 50%(99%)-
Kentucky Lunsford 47%McConnell 53%(100%)GOP Hold
Maine Allen 39%Collins 61%(99%)GOP Hold
Louisiana Landrieu 52%Kennedy 46%(99%)Dem Hold
Minnesota Franken 42%Coleman 42%(99%)GOP Hold
Mississippi Musgrove 45%Wicker 55%(99%)GOP Hold
Nebraska Kleeb 40%Johanns 58%(99%)GOP Hold
New Hampshire Shaheen 52%Sununu 45%(85%)Dem Pickup
New Jersey Lautenberg 56%Zimmer 43%(99%)Dem Hold
New Mexico Udall 61%Pearce 39%(99%)Dem Pickup
North Carolina Hagan 53%Dole 44%(100%)Dem Pickup
Oregon Merkley 47%Smith 48%(75%)-
Texas Noriega 43%Cornyn 55%(99%)GOP Hold
Virginia Warner 64%Gilmore 34%(98%)Dem Pickup
* Joe Lieberman (CT-ID) and Bernie Sanders (VT-I/S) caucus with Senate Democrats

· House ·

Democrats 252 (+20) Republicans 173 (-20)

Democrat Republican
Maryland (1) Kratovil 49%Harris 49%(100%)-
Idaho (1) Minnick 51%Sali 49%(96%)-
Virginia (5) Perriello 50%Goode 50%(100%)-
California (4) Brown 50%McClintock 50%(100%)-
New Jersey (3) Adler 50%Myers 50%(93%)-

Democrats

Holds
GA-8NH-1AL-5
KY-3MS-1PA-10
PA-11WI-8IN-2
PA-12
Pickups
VA-2VA-11OH-1
OH-16AL-2AZ-1
CO-4CT-4FL-24
FL-8IL-11MI-7
MI-9NV-3NM-1
NM-2NY-13NY-25
NY-29NC-8PA-3

Republicans

Holds
FL-25MN-6IN-3
OH-15SC-1AZ-3
FL-13FL-21IL-10
KY-2MN-3MO-6
MO-9NJ-7OH-2
VA-6WY-AL
Pickups

FL-16KS-2LA-6

TX-22













Thanks to Bitten and Bound for the video posting, since I couldn't grab it directly from MSNBC for some reason. This has got to be the most generous, and truly loving, concession speech I've ever heard, and is an eloquent demonstration of why I voted for Sen. McCain. Fortunately, he returns to the Senate, so we'll still have his leadership. Now we all have to work hard to keep government accountable and work for a unified country.

04 November 2008

Praying as we lurch left

The Wall Street Journal article published earlier today, titled 'We Could Be In for a Lurch to the Left," was astute and powerful. It examines the potential effects of a President Obama without restraints from Congress. We now know that scenario to have come true. The next President of the United States will be Barack Obama. And we are all going to find out what it will be to live under a President almost unchecked by the Congress. Fortunately, the Senate does not, at this time, appear to have passed the 'magic 60' number, which would allow the Democrats a filibuster-proof majority in the Senate. Here in Florida, while we appear to have gone to Obama, more local races and Congressional seats have gone to or been maintained by the Republicans, so we did contribute to providing a check to the Democratic momentum.

What are we going to do? I just drank my third glass of wine and ate my fourth mini-bar of chocolate in self comfort. But, tomorrow I get up for work as normal to give a lecture, and tomorrow afternoon I finish off working on my dissertation proposal. Life will go on. What comes next? I have to turn to John McCain's more than gracious concession speech (see the title link for the text). We must love our country enough to continue to work for her. We must love our fellow citizens (even if they voted for the wrong man) enough to continue to work with them. We must never back down on these things. When I was working phones in the local victory office this past weekend, several volunteers were talking about taking their money and getting out. I totally sympathize, but this is the wrong answer. America needs us. We worked for John McCain because he was the best man for President. We need to continue to work for the country he has sacrificed his entire life for.

Spend tonight (OK, two nights) mourning. I certainly wept during John McCain's acceptance speech. Then, get up. Stop whining, and work to fix our country. Fight against the Democratic machine that's coming into power whenever appropriate. Never let anything slide as a voter. Don't stop. Above all, love the United States of America rather than wallowing in anger and bitterness. We can do nothing to change these results, but we can do much to change the future.

Reasons 6 and 7 out of 7 to Vote McCain: Obama and Dems Dirty Tricks and McCain's Honor

Dirty Tricks:
Yes, it's true that dirty tricks have never been the purview of any one party or campaign, but this election cycle seems to be dominated by an attempt to quash dissent. There has been a concerted effort on the part of the Obama campaign and Democratic Party to sway the election by taking illegal and unregulated donations from individuals over the donation limit and foreign donors, few of which were routed out by the campaign. There have been reports of rampant voter registration fraud, some reports of actual voter fraud, and intimidation of those trying to investigate the actions of the voter registration group, ACORN. Free speech and free thinking seem to have gone out the window for the party of openness. Joe the Plumber, who holy cow, uses his middle name, has been investigated and is the subject of intimidation and smear campaigns (not to mention open mockery) for daring to ask a real question of Obama. The media has been far more interested in a borrowed wardrobe than its own documented bias. Obama's tax plans have been distorted to sound like no one need ever worry again, and McCain has been falsely smeared with agreeing with every right-wing boogie man ever invented, despite being disliked and distrusted by most. It does on and on. Suffice it to say that Jack Kemp was right; the Obama campaign is attempting to buy and election for an incredibly inexperienced and corrupt politician.

Honor:
McCain is a man who has, given his whole life over to his country. That in and of itself should incline most patriotic Americans to seriously look at voting for him. He dealt with the Keating Five scandal not by hiding from it, burying it or even by pointing out (rightly) that he cleared of all wrongdoing. Instead, he stood up to it, owned his part in the appearance of wrongdoing, and spend the next twenty years working on campaign finance reform. He does not back down in the face of difficulty; he truly loves this country. He has supported immigration reform, environmental protection, strengthening of the military, honesty in politics and in campaign finance, and elimination of corruption and waste.

Do you want a President that that will be for you, for this country and will give it everything he has? A President who will be honest, won't sugarcoat anything, and will work at real economic reform? Finally, do you want a President who will truly be nonpartisan? Vote McCain for President.

03 November 2008

Reason 5 of 7 to Vote McCain: Infanticide Light

I spent a lot of time debating the title of this article (the phrase was one I picked up in reading - I can't tell you exactly where I first saw it). After all, infanticide is a very serious charge, and not one to be lightly used, so a word of explanation is needed. I do not believe that Obama "wants" random killing of infants. The trouble with Obama's policy, is that he also doesn't see a need to step in an prevent it. I'm sure he truly and honestly loves his children and his family, and that is honorable and noble in any person. But, he doesn't extend that love of children to include the unborn, and those born from botched abortions.

When voting against the Illinois version of the Born-Alive legislation, he claimed (see title link) that he would have voted for it it it had the adequate protection language, for the health and life of the mother, contained within the federal bill. Two versions of the Illinois bill had nearly identical language. He said similar things about the other versions of the same bill and for a partial-birth abortion ban in Illinois. At the Saddleback 'debate' he said that knowing when life begins is "... above [his] paygrade."

Ultimately, I suppose that statement may be true for anyone, but that is not an excuse to 'duck and cover.' In environmental law and policy classes, one of the principles I learned (and learned to appreciate) is the 'Precautionary Principle.' This principle states that if a policy decision is needed that may impact human or environmental health is partially unquantifiable and negative ways, then the more cautious approach should be taken until the issue is better understood. I can't claim to know when God joins a soul to a living body, so I choose to rely on the 'Precautionary Principle.' I assume that human life and rights begin at conception, to prevent a grievous and evil error.

Obama may be the next President. His job is to provide leadership. The only leadership he has provided on the issue of right-to-life is to side with 'structural feminists' and Marxists, by his own admission. This means never once, not even once, taking any stance that would impede abortion in any way for any reason at any point in development, including if a baby if born alive following a botched abortion (except in rhetoric). The born-alive arguments are well known, but just in case you've missed it, I've included here, with some reluctance, an upload and a link to a video about the Born-Alive Protection Act. I'm reluctant only because of the ending of the video, which reads "No Hussein." I truly think that throwing his middle name around only makes us sound prejudiced and angry, and is clearly designed to associate Obama with his Muslim heritage. I don't think he is a Muslim, I think think that he adheres to core Christian principles poorly. I know quite a few socially or economically (or both) liberal Christians who put their political ideology ahead of Biblical authority (or who twist Biblical authority to mean whatever they want it to mean). Interestingly, I'm both a Christian and a reproductive biologist (I'm interested in environmental impacts on the reproductive health of endangered mammals), and so have a particular view on the start of life. While I definitely think it important to allow free choice in the case of incest, rape, and wear a woman's life or health is truly endangered (all situations where a woman made no choice to bring her to that point), I support restricting abortion outside of that. I also think it unconsiounable to allow minors to seek unrestricted access to abortion (including across state lines, something else Obama voted not to prohibit) without parental notification. Obviously, a responsible piece of legislation would need to build in protections for girls who are incest victims, or who live in abusive households, but to prohibit any attempts at parental notification laws is ridiculous. I return to my original thesis on Obama's decision making (see postings from two months ago): he is corrupt and in debt to far-left interests, and will always decide their way.

So, what to do if you feel that abortion and poverty are of equal importance on the pro-life spectrum? This is a defensible and ethical stance to take since Scripture mentions poverty more times than almost anything else. If you vote for Obama on the presumption that he is better for the poor (and assumption I have contested in earlier articles), you must accept that the unborn and newly, accidentally-born will be thrown to the side. Obama's record is wholly clear on this issue, as are the records of the Democratic leadership (who are all on board with nearly unrestricted abortion access). You need only look at Obama's wholehearted support for the Freedom of Choice Act to see this.

If you vote for McCain, you'll need to take into account your fears about his policies to the poor. Let me try to ally some of those fears for you. McCain was the primary author and co-sponsor of the immigration reform bill two years ago. For supporting this bill, he earned the wrath of most of his party, and many Democrats who were concerned about immigrants 'taking' jobs (and entirely bogus argument for most immigrants who take jobs no one else will, like picking lettuce). He supports legislation to continue lowering taxes on all income levels, including the lower, middle-class. Leadership on bills like these is not the action of one who is neither persuadable or uninterested (unlike Obama who shows no interest in listening to others on this issue and has never shown leadership). On the pro-life side, McCain has a clear record of supporting pro-life issues, but of being measured and responsible. He supports stem-cell research and moderate restrictions on abortion. While he thinks Roe v. Wade was irresponsible, he would not impose a litmus test on judges. These are the decisions of a man who tries to listen to others, balances competing demands, and still remains true to his principles and beliefs. These things are all true despite the outrageous media bias this election cycle

Do you want a candidate who stand for the unborn and vulnerable of all ages? Vote McCain for President.

Reason 4 of 7 to Vote McCain: The Second Amendment

Gun ownership has reared up again as an issue in a national election, particularly for hunters and handgun owners. Sen. Obama promises that he interprets the 2nd Amendment to mean personal ownership and use are protected, and that the 'orderly militia' clause is separate, and does not impede on personal weapons ownership and use. Sen. McCain also clearly supports personal handgun ownership and use, as well as weapons and ammunition for hunters. It seems the only way to differentiate the position between the two men is to examine their records, and herein lies the trouble for Obama.

Obama has made a big point of appealing to SW Pennsylvania residents, West Virginians, southern Ohio residents, and any place where hunting has deep roots or where handgun ownership is an accepted and open part of the culture. Pasted below is his voting record on gun issues according to the Vote Smart website (a non-partisan website that tracks voting records).

Gun Issues
(Back to top)
02/25/2008Prohibiting Funds in the Bill S 1200 from Being Used to Decrease Gun Ownership
S Amdt 4070
NVAmendment Adopted - Senate
(78 - 11)
07/13/2006Firearm Confiscation Prohibition Amendment
S Amdt 4615
YAmendment Adopted - Senate
(84 - 16)
07/29/2005Firearms Manufacturers Protection bill
S 397
NBill Passed - Senate
(65 - 31)
07/28/2005Child Safety Lock Amendment
S AMDT 1626
YAmendment Adopted - Senate
(70 - 30)

The federal voting record is a mixed bag as far as gun-rights are concerned, but his state voting record is much more consistent (and lengthy), and uniformly seeks to restrict 2nd Amendment rights both directly and indirectly. I've again pasted it in below.

  • Ok for states & cities to determine local gun laws. (Apr 2008)
  • FactCheck: Yes, Obama endorsed Illinois handgun ban. (Apr 2008)
  • Respect 2nd Amendment, but local gun bans ok. (Feb 2008)
  • Provide some common-sense enforcement on gun licensing. (Jan 2008)
  • 2000: cosponsored bill to limit purchases to 1 gun per month. (Oct 2007)
  • Concealed carry OK for retired police officers. (Aug 2007)
  • Stop unscrupulous gun dealers dumping guns in cities. (Jul 2007)
  • Keep guns out of inner cities--but also problem of morality. (Oct 2006)
  • Bush erred in failing to renew assault weapons ban. (Oct 2004)
  • Ban semi-automatics, and more possession restrictions. (Jul 1998)
  • Voted NO on prohibiting lawsuits against gun manufacturers. (Jul 2005)
Here we see that while Obama may claim to support handgun ownership, his record shows him seeking to put onerous restrictions on ownership, such that they are effectively banned. He supported the handgun ban in Illinois for instance. **An aside, having lived near D.C. and Chicago, and having worked in Chicago, I saw first hand how totally ineffective the handgun bans were in both those cities. They are the strictest in the nation, and yet gun violence is rampant in both cities. How sensible is that? OK, back to the main topic. ** I fully support reasonable regulation, but some of the bills Obama has supported go far beyond reasonable. Here is the link to detailed statements he has given about each of these state bills.

It hardly seems necessary to lay out John McCain's record and statements, but he has clearly supported 2nd Amendment rights, while still supporting reasonable regulation of certain weapons types, etc. Below is his record from Vote Smart. I think it reasonable to say we can safely omit the VP records - both are very well-known, and on opposite sides of this issue.

02/25/2008Prohibiting Funds in the Bill S 1200 from Being Used to Decrease Gun Ownership
S Amdt 4070
NVAmendment Adopted - Senate
(78 - 11)
07/13/2006Firearm Confiscation Prohibition Amendment
S Amdt 4615
YAmendment Adopted - Senate
(84 - 16)
07/29/2005Firearms Manufacturers Protection bill
S 397
YBill Passed - Senate
(65 - 31)
07/28/2005Child Safety Lock Amendment
S AMDT 1626
YAmendment Adopted - Senate
(70 - 30)
03/02/2004Firearms Manufacturers Protection bill
S 1805
YBill Failed - Senate
(8 - 90)
05/20/1999Gun Show Sale Regulation Amendment
S Amdt 362
NAmendment Adopted - Senate
(51 - 50)
07/21/1998Gun Lock Requirement Amendment
S Amdt 3230
YAmendment Tabled - Senate
(61 - 39)
11/20/1993Brady Handgun Bill
HR 1025
NBill Passed - Senate
(63 - 36)
11/17/1993Prohibiting the Possession of Semi-Automatic Assault Weapons
S Amdt 1152
NAmendment Adopted - Senate
(56 - 43)
11/05/1993Charging Teens as Adults for Crimes Involving a Firearm
S Amdt 1117
NVAmendment Adopted - Senate
(64 - 23)



Do you want to protect your 2nd Amendment rights?

Vote John McCain for President!

01 November 2008

Reason 3 of 7 to Vote McCain: Taxes and Revenue Streams

One year ago, the Wall Street Journal reported on the inverse relationship between higher taxes rates and revenue streams (click the title link to see the original). In short, they reported an often observed truth - within limits, tax rate reductions lead to better reporting and more complete payment, thus increasing government income streams. This should make sense even on a basic and general level. If one is not taxed unreasonably, one is more likely to report full income, and not attempt to evade one's tax burden. If one is taxed at the 70% level, however, 'escape and evasion' becomes the modus operandi. That is exactly what Obama is proposing to do, and its only real effect is going to be to raise the deficit.

The current deficit is expected to top $ 1 trillion shortly, and even if Obama can get Congress to limit tax increases to the $120 K mark of income (yes, the goal has moved again), and even if not one household in that income bracket made any attempt to evade taxation, that tax burden will not overcome the current deficit. If all of Obama's spending proposals go through, the deficit is likely to top $4 trillion in short order, leaving two choices: increases taxes on everyone from $40K/annually on up, or leave a huge deficit that will be the responsibility of several generations to pay. This is not a fiscal policy that will lead to increased employment and growth - it's a jobs-killer. If one adds in the increased taxes on Capitol Gains, Medicare, health insurance, etc., it becomes impossible to maintain a limit on who sees a tax increase and who pays. In fact, those additional tax burdens ensure that everyone sees a tax increase, and that our grandchildren will be paying for the country's addiction to easy spending and welfare. John McCain is right - what we need is a return to fiscal discipline, limited spending, and the right policy to grow jobs and the economy, namely a freeze or reduction in taxes. Do the right thing for your country and your children - Vote McCain.

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